Households by Province (Top 20)
House Type Distribution
Heating System
Energy Performance Label
Contract Power
Technology Adoption (%)
Cooking Type
PV Adoption by House Type (%)
Methodology: Real ENTSO-E zone load data decomposed into sectors
using Terna annual shares, IMCEI/IMSER monthly indices, and day-type profiles.
The residential share (green) is compared against our bottom-up simulation predictions.
Daily Zonal Load -Sectoral Decomposition (GWh)
Sectoral Share by Day (%)
Residential: Bottom-Up Simulation vs Top-Down Decomposition (GWh/day)
Solar PV: Simulation vs ENTSO-E — Residential (GWh/day)
Zone Solar PV Generation (MWh)
Backtesting
Methodology: Scatter plot comparing daily residential consumption predictions
(bottom-up simulation) against ENTSO-E top-down decomposition estimates across all available
historical weeks. Points on the diagonal indicate perfect agreement.
Predicted vs Actual Residential Consumption (GWh/day)
Residential Load, Grid Draw & PV
PV Generation
Self-Consumption & Battery
Province Load Heatmap (MWh)
Temperature (°C)
Consumption by Component — Average Household
Consumption by Province (MWh, Top 20)
How these stories are generated.
For every household sampled by the forecast pipeline we ask Gemini
(gemini-2.5-flash-lite) to write a 7-day
activity schedule conditioned on (a) the household's sociodemographic
profile — occupants, ages, occupations, presence patterns — (b) the home's
physical attributes — surface, energy label, heating type, PV/EV/storage
— and (c) the week's weather (per-day temperature, cloud, precipitation).
The model returns XML covering six behavioural dimensions:
occupancy (24×N hour-by-person grid),
meals, showers, appliances
(washing machine, dishwasher, dryer, oven, vacuum, iron),
EV charging, and trips.
Identical archetypes (family size + house type + region) re-use a small
pool of donor narratives — what you see below are the unique stories
actually generated by the model. Use the filters to find weekend, rainy,
or prosumer-specific stories; click any card for the full week.
All
Has PV
Has EV
Has Battery
Heat Pump
Weekend included
Rainy day
Hot week (>28°)
Cold week (<5°)
Single occupant
Family 3+